UPDATED: 10-13-25 17:46 PDT

cfp San Diego St 1
  
San Diego St          
W-L: ( 3- 9) PR = 86.9334

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Tex A&M-Com 45-14 907 H Oregon St P12 ( 5- 7, 90.1) 0-21 914 A California ACC ( 6- 6, 92.7) 10-31 928 A Cen Michigan MA ( 4- 8, 86.0) 21-22 1005 H Hawaii MW ( 5- 7, 89.5) 27-24 1012 A Wyoming MW ( 3- 9, 89.6) 27-24 1026 H Wash St P12 ( 8- 4, 92.9) 26-29 1031 A Boise State MW (12- 1, 98.2) 24-56 1108 H New Mexico MW ( 5- 7, 89.4) 16-21 1116 A UNLV MW (10- 3, 95.0) 20-41 1123 A Utah St MW ( 4- 8, 88.4) 20-41 1130 H Air Force MW ( 5- 7, 89.4) 20-31

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   907 H Oregon St               0-21     -21    -2    -     -2.77
   914 A California             10-31     -21    -7           0.00
   928 A Cen Michigan           21-22      -1     0          -1.05
  1005 H Hawaii                 27-24       3    -2    ++     4.62
  1012 A Wyoming                27-24       3    -4    +++    6.56
  1026 H Wash St                26-29      -3    -5    +      2.00
  1031 A Boise State            24-56     -32   -12           0.00
  1108 H New Mexico             16-21      -5    -2    -     -3.40
  1116 A UNLV                   20-41     -21    -9           0.00
  1123 A Utah St                20-41     -21    -2    -     -2.64
  1130 H Air Force              20-31     -11    -2    -     -3.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   907 H Oregon St               0-21     -21    -2    -     -2.77
  1108 H New Mexico             16-21      -5    -2    -     -3.40
  1123 A Utah St                20-41     -21    -2    -     -2.64
  1130 H Air Force              20-31     -11    -2    -     -3.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1012 A Wyoming                27-24       3    -4    +++    6.56
  1005 H Hawaii                 27-24       3    -2    ++     4.62
  1026 H Wash St                26-29      -3    -5    +      2.00

San Diego St Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Boston Col `   Boston Col `
California California California  
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke   Duke
Florida St Florida St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Miami
UNC UNC   UNC
NC St NC St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pittsburgh
SMU SMU insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) SMU
Stanford Stanford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Va Tech   Va Tech
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wake Forest
Army Army insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Army
Charlotte Charlotte   Charlotte
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina   Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic San Diego St   San Diego St
Memphis Memphis   Memphis
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Navy
No Texas No Texas tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) No Texas
Rice Rice   Rice
So Florida So Florida   So Florida
Temple Temple insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Temple
Tulane Tulane   Tulane
Tulsa San Diego St   San Diego St
UAB UAB   UAB
UTSA UTSA   UTSA
Arizona Arizona insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arizona St
BYU BYU tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) BYU
Baylor Baylor insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Houston Houston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St Oklahoma St   Oklahoma St
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Texas Tech
UCF UCF   UCF
Utah Utah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St   Michigan St
Minnesota Minnesota   Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska   Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon Oregon   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Penn St Penn St   Penn St
Purdue Purdue tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Purdue
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
UCLA UCLA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UCLA
USC USC insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) USC
Washington Washington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin   Wisconsin
Florida Intl San Diego St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Diego St
Jacksonv. St Jacksonv. St   Jacksonv. St
Kennesaw St San Diego St   San Diego St
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
La Tech San Diego St   San Diego St
Middle Tenn San Diego St   San Diego St
NM St San Diego St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) San Diego St
SHouston St SHouston St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) SHouston St
UTEP San Diego St   San Diego St
We Kentucky We Kentucky   We Kentucky
UMass San Diego St   San Diego St
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
UConn UConn   UConn
Akron Akron   Akron
Ball St San Diego St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) San Diego St
Bowl. Green Bowl. Green insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bowl. Green
Buffalo Buffalo   Buffalo
Cen Michigan Cen Michigan Cen Michigan  
Ea Michigan San Diego St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Diego St
Kent State San Diego St   San Diego St
MiamiOH MiamiOH insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) MiamiOH
No Illinois No Illinois insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) No Illinois
Ohio Ohio insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ohio
Toledo Toledo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Toledo
We Michigan We Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) We Michigan
Air Force Air Force Air Force  
Boise State Boise State Boise State  
Colorado St Colorado St Colorado St   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Fresno St Fresno St tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Fresno St
Hawaii San Diego St San Diego St  
Nevada Nevada tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Nevada
New Mexico New Mexico New Mexico  
San Jose St San Jose St San Jose St   3- 3 vs 1- 5
UNLV UNLV UNLV  
Utah St Utah St Utah St  
Wyoming San Diego St San Diego St  
Oregon St Oregon St Oregon St  
Wash St Wash St Wash St  
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Auburn Auburn insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Auburn
Florida Florida   Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky   Kentucky
LSU LSU   LSU
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Miss St San Diego St   San Diego St
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee   Tennessee
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St App St   App St
Arkansas State Arkansas State   Arkansas State
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So Georgia So tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Georgia So
Georgia St Georgia St   Georgia St
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana Louisiana   Louisiana
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss San Diego St   San Diego St
So Alabama So Alabama   So Alabama
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Troy   Troy
La-Monroe La-Monroe   La-Monroe

PowerWise = 16


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Oregon St       ( 5- 7, 90.1)     0-21       -9.84       8.42      -0.91         1.10           -11.82
   0 A California      ( 6- 6, 92.7)    10-31       -7.21      11.04       0.91         1.10            -6.94
   0 A Cen Michigan    ( 4- 8, 86.0)    21-22      -13.92       4.33       0.91         1.10           -14.33
   0 H Hawaii          ( 5- 7, 89.5)    27-24      -10.44       7.81      -0.91         1.10             7.60
   0 A Wyoming         ( 3- 9, 89.6)    27-24      -10.31       7.94       0.91         1.10             9.73
   0 H Wash St         ( 8- 4, 92.9)    26-29       -6.95      11.30      -0.91         1.10            -8.65
   0 A Boise State     (12- 1, 98.2)    24-56       -1.71      16.54       0.91         1.10            -0.89
   0 H New Mexico      ( 5- 7, 89.4)    16-21      -10.46       7.79      -0.91         1.10           -12.51
   0 A UNLV            (10- 3, 95.0)    20-41       -4.88      13.38       0.91         1.10            -4.37
   0 A Utah St         ( 4- 8, 88.4)    20-41      -11.51       6.75       0.91         1.10           -11.67
   0 H Air Force       ( 5- 7, 89.4)    20-31      -10.48       7.77      -0.91         1.10           -12.53
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -66.37

winning pts = 17.3357 losing points = -83.7041

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------